Link alternatif AsianBookie.com: | asianbookie9.com |  asianbookie.ru | (Bookmark CTRL+D)

SBOTOP

bet365 - Best Live Odds on All Asian Handicaps. - SIGN UP NOW!

M88.com


Main Menu | Preferences | Search | Register | Log In
 
  Registered Forum Members: 272072 and growing!

Toulouse vs Lyon - AsianBookie.Com Forums

French Football Forum 
 Main Menu > French Football Forum > Toulouse vs Lyon

   » CHAT Now! «  [ 305 Chatters Online ]
Search | Register | Log In
 ( Page 1 )  Go to Last Post    
Posted By Topic: Toulouse vs Lyon       - Views: 244
Fahrenheit
29-Sep 2024 Sunday 12:38 PM (14 days ago)
QuencH, MARS, Sickbet and 3 others  6 Likes  
              #1
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 52654
Liked By: 40844
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 54



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
1x2 Lyon @2.55
 

Toulouse: Seeking to capitalize on home advantage and recent form.

Lyon: Aiming to bounce back from inconsistent performances.

Tactical Battle: Contrasting styles could lead to an intriguing matchup.

Data Analysis:

 

Head-to-Head & Recent Form: Not included in the provided excerpts. Historical head-to-head records and recent form of both teams, particularly their last 5-10 matches, would provide valuable context for predicting the outcome.

Team Characteristics:Toulouse: Strengths - Creating chances using through balls, balanced defense, aerial duels; Style - Attacking down the right, rotating the starting XI, aggressive; Weaknesses - Protecting the lead, defending against skillful players, avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, defending set pieces.

Lyon: Strengths - Set pieces, side attacks, balanced defense, creating chances, protecting the lead; Style - Regular attempts at through balls, rotating the starting XI; Weaknesses - Defending against through balls, stopping opponents from creating chances, defending against wing attacks, defensive counter-attacking, defending against long shots.

Betting Odds Movements:1X2: Initial odds suggested a slight favorite in Lyon (32.5% implied win probability) compared to Toulouse (39.7%). However, recent movements show a shift in favor of Lyon (down to -6.1% from opening odds) and a decrease in probability for Toulouse (up to +3.4% from opening odds). This suggests that betting sentiment is moving towards a more balanced or even Lyon-favored outcome.

Asian Handicap: Lyon (+0.00) indicates their emergence as the slight favorites, with odds becoming less favorable (-6.2% change).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Odds suggest a close to even chance for both over and under 2.5 goals. Movements show a decrease in the probability of over 2.5 goals (-6.0%) and an increase for under 2.5 goals (+7.7%). This implies a potential for a low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score: Odds for Lyon scoring and Toulouse not scoring have decreased significantly (-10.6%), while the odds for Toulouse scoring and Lyon not scoring have increased (+5.4%).

Prediction & Justification (rounded to nearest five percentage points):

 

Based on the provided data and analysis of betting odds movements, the following predictions are proposed:

 

Home Win (Toulouse): 25% - Initial odds suggested a potential upset, but betting sentiment is moving away from this outcome. Toulouse's struggles with protecting the lead and defending against skillful players (Lyon's potential strengths) further lower their chances.

Draw: 30% - The close odds and slight movement toward under 2.5 goals suggest a draw as a real possibility.

Away Win (Lyon): 45% - Despite inconsistencies, Lyon's recent odds movement suggests growing confidence in their ability to secure a victory. Their strength in set pieces and side attacks, coupled with Toulouse's weaknesses in defending those areas, might prove decisive.

Home Team to Score First (Toulouse): 45% - Toulouse's aggressive style and emphasis on creating chances using through balls, coupled with Lyon's weakness in defending against such plays, increase their likelihood of scoring first.

Zero Goal (0-0 Draw): 10% - While a draw is plausible, both teams have shown attacking intent, making a goalless draw less likely.

Away Team to Score First (Lyon): 45% - Lyon's strength in set pieces and side attacks could lead to an early goal, despite Toulouse's relatively balanced defense.

Over 2.5 Goals: 45% - While odds movements suggest a potential for a low-scoring match, both teams have shown the capability to score goals. The contrasting styles and potential for Lyon to exploit Toulouse's defensive weaknesses might lead to a few goals.

Under 2.5 Goals: 55% - Recent odds movements lean towards a lower-scoring game. Toulouse's occasional struggles with protecting the lead and Lyon's inconsistency in converting chances could contribute to a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Favourite to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 25% - Given the predicted closeness of the match and the potential for a low-scoring outcome, a significant margin of victory for either side seems unlikely.

Favourite NOT to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 75% - The analysis suggests a closely contested match, making a draw or a narrow victory for either team the most probable scenario.

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #108 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 936,250 Total Members: 45
 
QuencH, MARS, Sickbet and 3 others  6 Likes  
 Like     



krislee
29-Sep 2024 Sunday 12:45 PM (14 days ago)            #2
Silver Member


Posts: 26054
Liked By: 29597
Joined: 21 Jun 20
Followers: 43


Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 354,375
Ranked:
#2327

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
1x2 Lyon @2.55
 

Toulouse: Seeking to capitalize on home advantage and recent form.

Lyon: Aiming to bounce back from inconsistent performances.

Tactical Battle: Contrasting styles could lead to an intriguing matchup.

Data Analysis:

 

Head-to-Head & Recent Form: Not included in the provided excerpts. Historical head-to-head records and recent form of both teams, particularly their last 5-10 matches, would provide valuable context for predicting the outcome.

Team Characteristics:Toulouse: Strengths - Creating chances using through balls, balanced defense, aerial duels; Style - Attacking down the right, rotating the starting XI, aggressive; Weaknesses - Protecting the lead, defending against skillful players, avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, defending set pieces.

Lyon: Strengths - Set pieces, side attacks, balanced defense, creating chances, protecting the lead; Style - Regular attempts at through balls, rotating the starting XI; Weaknesses - Defending against through balls, stopping opponents from creating chances, defending against wing attacks, defensive counter-attacking, defending against long shots.

Betting Odds Movements:1X2: Initial odds suggested a slight favorite in Lyon (32.5% implied win probability) compared to Toulouse (39.7%). However, recent movements show a shift in favor of Lyon (down to -6.1% from opening odds) and a decrease in probability for Toulouse (up to +3.4% from opening odds). This suggests that betting sentiment is moving towards a more balanced or even Lyon-favored outcome.

Asian Handicap: Lyon (+0.00) indicates their emergence as the slight favorites, with odds becoming less favorable (-6.2% change).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Odds suggest a close to even chance for both over and under 2.5 goals. Movements show a decrease in the probability of over 2.5 goals (-6.0%) and an increase for under 2.5 goals (+7.7%). This implies a potential for a low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score: Odds for Lyon scoring and Toulouse not scoring have decreased significantly (-10.6%), while the odds for Toulouse scoring and Lyon not scoring have increased (+5.4%).

Prediction & Justification (rounded to nearest five percentage points):

 

Based on the provided data and analysis of betting odds movements, the following predictions are proposed:

 

Home Win (Toulouse): 25% - Initial odds suggested a potential upset, but betting sentiment is moving away from this outcome. Toulouse's struggles with protecting the lead and defending against skillful players (Lyon's potential strengths) further lower their chances.

Draw: 30% - The close odds and slight movement toward under 2.5 goals suggest a draw as a real possibility.

Away Win (Lyon): 45% - Despite inconsistencies, Lyon's recent odds movement suggests growing confidence in their ability to secure a victory. Their strength in set pieces and side attacks, coupled with Toulouse's weaknesses in defending those areas, might prove decisive.

Home Team to Score First (Toulouse): 45% - Toulouse's aggressive style and emphasis on creating chances using through balls, coupled with Lyon's weakness in defending against such plays, increase their likelihood of scoring first.

Zero Goal (0-0 Draw): 10% - While a draw is plausible, both teams have shown attacking intent, making a goalless draw less likely.

Away Team to Score First (Lyon): 45% - Lyon's strength in set pieces and side attacks could lead to an early goal, despite Toulouse's relatively balanced defense.

Over 2.5 Goals: 45% - While odds movements suggest a potential for a low-scoring match, both teams have shown the capability to score goals. The contrasting styles and potential for Lyon to exploit Toulouse's defensive weaknesses might lead to a few goals.

Under 2.5 Goals: 55% - Recent odds movements lean towards a lower-scoring game. Toulouse's occasional struggles with protecting the lead and Lyon's inconsistency in converting chances could contribute to a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Favourite to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 25% - Given the predicted closeness of the match and the potential for a low-scoring outcome, a significant margin of victory for either side seems unlikely.

Favourite NOT to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 75% - The analysis suggests a closely contested match, making a draw or a narrow victory for either team the most probable scenario.

 


Gl 

 




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Team DELTA
(Est. Jun 2010)

Team Ranked: #11 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 10,462,812 Total Members: 84
   Like     
dragonson
29-Sep 2024 Sunday 2:04 PM (14 days ago)            #3
Administrator

Tri-Centennial Member

AsianBookie Tipster


Posts: 349377
Liked By: 132972
Joined: 19 Apr 03
Followers: 227



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,802,187.50
Ranked:
#174

 
Luck




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
ღஜღ Miracle Simple Win ღஜღ
(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #4 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 78,207,500 Total Members: 2655
   Like     
BIG GUY
29-Sep 2024 Sunday 3:07 PM (14 days ago)            #4
*Diamond Member*

Quint-Centennial Member


Posts: 554070
Liked By: 283514
Joined: 28 Dec 02
Followers: 61



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,080,000
Ranked:
#763

 
Good luck 




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BIG GUY's team
(Est. Jun 2021)

Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 79,241,250 Total Members: 1334
 
MARS and Sickbet  2 Likes  
 Like     
davids_juve
29-Sep 2024 Sunday 11:11 PM (14 days ago)            #5
Bronze Member


Posts: 7490
Liked By: 4460
Joined: 24 Aug 02
Followers: 3



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 50,937.50
Ranked:
#2556

 
Congrats!! Slmg from lyon!!



All hail le king, Eric Cantona!!!


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 95,217,187 Total Members: 1510
   Like     
BIG GUY
30-Sep 2024 Monday 9:50 AM (13 days ago)            #6
*Diamond Member*

Quint-Centennial Member


Posts: 554070
Liked By: 283514
Joined: 28 Dec 02
Followers: 61



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,080,000
Ranked:
#763

 
Congrats 




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BIG GUY's team
(Est. Jun 2021)

Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 79,241,250 Total Members: 1334
 
MARS and Sickbet  2 Likes  
 Like     
dragonson
30-Sep 2024 Monday 11:36 AM (13 days ago)            #7
Administrator

Tri-Centennial Member

AsianBookie Tipster


Posts: 349377
Liked By: 132972
Joined: 19 Apr 03
Followers: 227



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,802,187.50
Ranked:
#174

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:

1x2 Lyon @2.55
 

Toulouse: Seeking to capitalize on home advantage and recent form.


Lyon: Aiming to bounce back from inconsistent performances.


Tactical Battle: Contrasting styles could lead to an intriguing matchup.


Data Analysis:


 


Head-to-Head & Recent Form: Not included in the provided excerpts. Historical head-to-head records and recent form of both teams, particularly their last 5-10 matches, would provide valuable context for predicting the outcome.


Team Characteristics:Toulouse: Strengths - Creating chances using through balls, balanced defense, aerial duels; Style - Attacking down the right, rotating the starting XI, aggressive; Weaknesses - Protecting the lead, defending against skillful players, avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, defending set pieces.


Lyon: Strengths - Set pieces, side attacks, balanced defense, creating chances, protecting the lead; Style - Regular attempts at through balls, rotating the starting XI; Weaknesses - Defending against through balls, stopping opponents from creating chances, defending against wing attacks, defensive counter-attacking, defending against long shots.


Betting Odds Movements:1X2: Initial odds suggested a slight favorite in Lyon (32.5% implied win probability) compared to Toulouse (39.7%). However, recent movements show a shift in favor of Lyon (down to -6.1% from opening odds) and a decrease in probability for Toulouse (up to +3.4% from opening odds). This suggests that betting sentiment is moving towards a more balanced or even Lyon-favored outcome.


Asian Handicap: Lyon (+0.00) indicates their emergence as the slight favorites, with odds becoming less favorable (-6.2% change).


Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Odds suggest a close to even chance for both over and under 2.5 goals. Movements show a decrease in the probability of over 2.5 goals (-6.0%) and an increase for under 2.5 goals (+7.7%). This implies a potential for a low-scoring affair.


Both Teams to Score: Odds for Lyon scoring and Toulouse not scoring have decreased significantly (-10.6%), while the odds for Toulouse scoring and Lyon not scoring have increased (+5.4%).


Prediction & Justification (rounded to nearest five percentage points):


 


Based on the provided data and analysis of betting odds movements, the following predictions are proposed:


 


Home Win (Toulouse): 25% - Initial odds suggested a potential upset, but betting sentiment is moving away from this outcome. Toulouse's struggles with protecting the lead and defending against skillful players (Lyon's potential strengths) further lower their chances.


Draw: 30% - The close odds and slight movement toward under 2.5 goals suggest a draw as a real possibility.


Away Win (Lyon): 45% - Despite inconsistencies, Lyon's recent odds movement suggests growing confidence in their ability to secure a victory. Their strength in set pieces and side attacks, coupled with Toulouse's weaknesses in defending those areas, might prove decisive.


Home Team to Score First (Toulouse): 45% - Toulouse's aggressive style and emphasis on creating chances using through balls, coupled with Lyon's weakness in defending against such plays, increase their likelihood of scoring first.


Zero Goal (0-0 Draw): 10% - While a draw is plausible, both teams have shown attacking intent, making a goalless draw less likely.


Away Team to Score First (Lyon): 45% - Lyon's strength in set pieces and side attacks could lead to an early goal, despite Toulouse's relatively balanced defense.


Over 2.5 Goals: 45% - While odds movements suggest a potential for a low-scoring match, both teams have shown the capability to score goals. The contrasting styles and potential for Lyon to exploit Toulouse's defensive weaknesses might lead to a few goals.


Under 2.5 Goals: 55% - Recent odds movements lean towards a lower-scoring game. Toulouse's occasional struggles with protecting the lead and Lyon's inconsistency in converting chances could contribute to a tight, low-scoring encounter.


Favourite to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 25% - Given the predicted closeness of the match and the potential for a low-scoring outcome, a significant margin of victory for either side seems unlikely.


Favourite NOT to Lead by Over 1.5 Goals: 75% - The analysis suggests a closely contested match, making a draw or a narrow victory for either team the most probable scenario.


 



Grats




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
ღஜღ Miracle Simple Win ღஜღ
(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #4 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 78,207,500 Total Members: 2655
   Like     
QuencH
30-Sep 2024 Monday 11:01 PM (13 days ago)            #8
*Diamond Member*

Centennial Member


Posts: 185684
Liked By: 80569
Joined: 13 Feb 17
Followers: 34
 


Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
Grats 




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 95,217,187 Total Members: 1510
   Like     
[Go Back to Top]
 Main Menu > French Football Forum > Toulouse vs Lyon



Change Timezone:   
 
6. H_M ms

AsianBookie.com Forums Home | Back to AsianBookie.com

© Copyright 1998-2024 AsianBookie.Com - All rights reserved.
Advertise Feedback Privacy Policy Terms of Service